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values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s63cnkvgxu
|
zygmunt-solorz-dead-before-february
|
Zygmunt Solorz dead before February 2025?
| null | 1,728,345,592,516
| 1,738,364,340,000
| 1,738,526,837,355
|
NO
| 0.087065
| 2,365
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
h0Z2AIIgyL
|
will-trent-alexander-arnold-extend
|
Will Trent Alexander Arnold extend his Liverpool contract?
| null | 1,729,873,313,560
| 1,750,210,687,843
| 1,750,210,687,843
|
NO
| 0.007768
| 13,778.023535
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
7qSHKYRnqy
|
will-remarks-118-on-gpt-compressed
|
Will "Remarks 1–18 on GPT (compressed)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
| null | 1,733,455,762,718
| 1,738,368,000,000
| 1,738,964,449,264
|
NO
| 0.1
| 38.883292
|
Technology
|
Computing & Software
|
ZLLqclSnq2
|
will-the-center-for-ai-policy-reach
|
Will the Center for AI Policy reach their minimum funding goal by 6/16/2025?
| null | 1,746,743,786,903
| 1,750,031,940,000
| 1,750,057,317,975
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,980.867345
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
AlAEZcAIgC
|
will-o3minihigh-conclude-eating-mea
|
Will o3-mini-high conclude eating meat is ethically wrong based off of your arguments?
| null | 1,739,315,039,439
| 1,745,384,340,000
| 1,745,462,863,674
|
YES
| 0.853451
| 3,429.876426
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
qdZ5gPsZ5E
|
spy-at-new-ath-by-eoy2026
|
SPY at new ATH by EOY2026?
| null | 1,743,720,311,125
| 1,751,126,236,238
| 1,751,126,236,238
|
YES
| 0.99
| 947.176335
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
zlg843p3gn
|
will-the-world-cubing-association-w
|
Will the World Cubing Association (WCA) add Face Turning Octahedron (FTO) as an official event before 2025?
| null | 1,723,199,584,171
| 1,735,714,740,000
| 1,735,716,858,600
|
NO
| 0.266215
| 140
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
8gzdyuRRQC
|
dalle-4-s6qlt0gPLU
|
DALL-E 4
| null | 1,734,801,115,729
| 1,735,678,740,000
| 1,735,773,696,750
|
NO
| 0.53
| 115.428399
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
68jswo1s6n
|
will-transcript-of-sam-altmans-inte
|
Will "Transcript of Sam Altman's interview touching..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
| null | 1,726,115,538,230
| 1,738,368,000,000
| 1,739,304,331,129
|
NO
| 0.116544
| 200
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
whzt15w206
|
will-democrats-win-any-safe-r-state-pife643nrw
|
Will Democrats win any Safe R state
| null | 1,723,840,969,910
| 1,735,711,140,000
| 1,736,101,849,236
|
NO
| 0.018209
| 751
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
E0ApNqOt0C
|
coinflip-R56S6yhhsQ
|
Coinflip
| null | 1,745,492,752,656
| 1,745,554,610,447
| 1,745,554,616,245
|
NO
| 0.5
| 169.462156
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
LIlQPUc69I
|
will-trump-state-that-ukraine-shoul
|
Will Trump state that Ukraine should agree to not receiving arms during a ceasefire in the next 30 days?
| null | 1,741,888,572,033
| 1,744,498,740,000
| 1,744,581,626,065
|
NO
| 0.113245
| 2,230.800781
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
55P5ULLCZ5
|
will-the-australian-election-campai
|
Will the Australian election campaign have a ‘Russiagate’ controversy?
| null | 1,743,953,494,552
| 1,746,486,000,000
| 1,746,495,794,792
|
NO
| 0.010101
| 1,793.67692
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ZQdNlAzl8N
|
will-the-eo-barring-transgender-us
|
Will the EO barring transgender US citizens from renewing passports be even partially overturned by end of 2025?
| null | 1,738,632,501,583
| 1,751,463,993,693
| 1,751,463,993,693
|
YES
| 0.766159
| 4,507.975365
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
fkq3gnxydn
|
will-manchester-city-win-the-premie-cv0zf5df2q
|
Will Manchester City win the Premier League before their game on May 18, two games left to play?
| null | 1,726,580,372,585
| 1,742,181,522,582
| 1,742,181,522,582
|
NO
| 0.01
| 24,817.175934
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
6kcq9jm2v5
|
if-trump-is-elected-president-will-d82xzhnd4h
|
If Trump is elected president, will he appoint Kennedy to a government position by the end of 2026?
| null | 1,724,445,089,714
| 1,739,465,167,939
| 1,739,465,167,939
|
YES
| 0.969622
| 9,330.049988
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
sIO2ZUQq5C
|
will-there-be-at-least-1000-deaths
|
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?
| null | 1,737,522,114,469
| 1,751,679,951,167
| 1,751,679,951,167
|
YES
| 0.99
| 31,641.579752
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
yptgUcOPZh
|
will-manifold-go-after-me-for-my-ne
|
Will Manifold go after me for my negative Sweepcash balance before June?
| null | 1,733,939,315,822
| 1,742,604,310,037
| 1,742,604,310,037
|
NO
| 0.01
| 10,381.089583
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
i2n3fv0qgy
|
on-jan-1-2025-will-new-replit-users
|
On jan 1 2025, will new replit users be allowed to create at least 10 repls?
| null | 1,721,077,662,140
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,735,708,754,012
|
NO
| 0.048078
| 3,461
|
Technology
|
Computing & Software
|
ntwinyr4ax
|
will-the-uk-foreign-secretary-go-to
|
Will the UK Foreign Secretary go to China before 2025?
| null | 1,719,226,073,200
| 1,735,660,740,000
| 1,735,765,959,858
|
YES
| 0.898365
| 215
|
Geopolitics
|
International Relations
|
u6gIIQC0sE
|
daily-coinflip-NsUngz09gz
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,736,761,883,968
| 1,736,917,140,000
| 1,736,927,593,520
|
YES
| 0.503917
| 11,923.681335
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
RN5cSLZ2E2
|
will-the-next-attempt-to-arrest-sou
|
Will the next attempt to arrest South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol result in at least one (1) fatality?
| null | 1,736,181,652,003
| 1,736,966,227,667
| 1,736,966,227,667
|
NO
| 0.012957
| 8,517
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
lZtOuhZ2An
|
will-the-sp-500-tstockindex-close-h
|
Will the S&P 500 tstockindex close higher on Jan 21 than it closed on Jan 17?
| null | 1,737,465,162,399
| 1,737,562,339,632
| 1,737,562,339,632
|
YES
| 0.98
| 600
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
hR8lhRO9gz
|
do-professional-economic-forecaster
|
Do professional economic forecasters expect a US recession (two quarters negative GDP growth) to begin in 2025?
| null | 1,745,456,790,092
| 1,747,404,313,512
| 1,747,404,313,512
|
NO
| 0.01
| 201,827.802948
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
gn8gh6C8Lu
|
will-my-team-make-it-to-european-ch
|
Will my team make it to European Championships?
| null | 1,732,010,508,172
| 1,732,665,540,000
| 1,736,986,359,929
|
NO
| 0.06639
| 275
|
Sports
|
International Competitions
|
cCgIAIpRPt
|
will-josh-allen-be-the-20242025-nfl--cash
|
Will Josh Allen be the 2024-2025 NFL MVP?
| null | 1,730,485,326,896
| 1,738,908,865,690
| 1,738,908,865,690
|
YES
| 0.993793
| 2,431.298692
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
8ths5OnONS
|
will-the-price-of-chicken-leg-quart
|
Will the price of chicken leg quarters increase?
| null | 1,737,173,248,936
| 1,739,768,340,000
| 1,739,770,226,434
|
NO
| 0.056586
| 550.882351
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
It6PLcOPI8
|
will-the-first-nintendo-switch-2-ed
|
Will the first "Nintendo Switch 2 Edition" games allow multiple consoles/accounts to get the upgrades?
| null | 1,743,883,587,171
| 1,749,316,448,943
| 1,749,316,448,943
|
YES
| 0.99
| 10,389.09293
|
Technology
|
Gaming
|
22h8uLQP6A
|
will-the-laxmetro-transit-center-st
|
Will the LAX/Metro Transit Center station open in Los Angeles before the end of 2025?
| null | 1,735,621,862,508
| 1,749,417,232,222
| 1,749,417,232,222
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,067.493419
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
tO9u0ytpLu
|
will-the-reserve-bank-of-australia-CIREph2qpP
|
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates in February 2025?
| null | 1,738,927,906,728
| 1,739,849,525,181
| 1,739,849,525,181
|
YES
| 0.989948
| 9,855
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
upmmp2f5ky
|
will-yoav-gallant-still-be-israeli
|
Will Yoav Gallant still be Israeli Minister of Defense on March 1 2025?
| null | 1,728,549,786,216
| 1,740,784,624,389
| 1,740,784,624,389
|
NO
| 0.025852
| 855
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
0lO0sC8pPu
|
pierre-polievre-loses-his-seat-in-t
|
Pierre Polievre loses his seat in the election?
| null | 1,745,633,074,415
| 1,746,034,053,513
| 1,746,034,053,513
|
YES
| 0.970218
| 1,804.020778
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
yIUzzuzs5d
|
will-the-aviay-vs-circle-squarers-t
|
Will the Avi/Ay vs circle squarers talk happen before July?
| null | 1,746,327,681,861
| 1,751,327,940,000
| 1,751,390,935,556
|
NO
| 0.01
| 976.444406
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
ZI8CsNuQsA
|
grok-3-api-available-to-developers
|
Grok 3 API available to developers before April 15, 2025
| null | 1,740,678,583,845
| 1,744,253,294,552
| 1,744,253,294,552
|
YES
| 0.982372
| 1,558.436178
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
lUtPdOsyA2
|
will-the-kremlin-agree-and-implemen
|
Will the Kremlin agree and implement an unconditional cease fire before then end of May 2025?
| null | 1,746,883,251,088
| 1,748,822,340,000
| 1,748,829,890,617
|
NO
| 0.010577
| 1,085.361759
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
sInIOO2IEy
|
will-we-learn-that-a-person-who-has
|
Will we learn that a person who has been deported to El Salvador by March 17th was an American citizen?
| null | 1,742,209,760,714
| 1,747,748,566,853
| 1,747,748,566,853
|
NO
| 0.030295
| 8,051.733477
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
IIgl9NcS0s
|
will-jalen-hurts-score-a-touchdown
|
Will Jalen Hurts score a touchdown in Super Bowl LIX?
| null | 1,738,332,591,450
| 1,739,146,282,029
| 1,739,146,282,029
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,821.660309
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
EPLyNAlLAs
|
will-a-tax-on-unrealized-capital-ga
|
Will a tax on unrealized capital gains take effect in Australia by 1 July?
| null | 1,749,055,809,818
| 1,751,327,940,000
| 1,751,560,563,400
|
NO
| 0.018965
| 13,057.235887
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
2y7ql7xhi5
|
will-donald-trump-say-the-word-pale
|
Will Donald Trump say the word “Palestine” between now and the election?
| null | 1,721,961,777,008
| 1,730,897,940,000
| 1,735,690,784,514
|
NO
| 0.06738
| 1,814.884147
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
PLtpOONu2c
|
ai-digests-agent-village-completes-nRdQZhs05R
|
AI Digest's Agent Village completes story and celebrates with 10+ people?
| null | 1,748,978,553,031
| 1,750,429,552,558
| 1,750,429,552,558
|
YES
| 0.980825
| 7,952.575358
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
3q9tsoxl3o
|
will-my-tentative-best-guess-on-how
|
Will "My tentative best guess on how EAs and Ration..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
| null | 1,721,669,965,654
| 1,738,368,000,000
| 1,738,965,332,810
|
NO
| 0.1
| 392.047163
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
9Q808Su0Zh
|
debt-ceiling-raised-or-suspended-by
|
Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?
| null | 1,734,817,818,843
| 1,737,698,242,289
| 1,737,698,242,289
|
NO
| 0.01
| 953.775316
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
IQ0st986zy
|
daily-coinflip-6hptyUAtII
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,738,562,341,271
| 1,738,731,540,000
| 1,738,739,912,370
|
NO
| 0.500812
| 8,192.87351
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
gygcR9Ut8P
|
will-the-minecraft-movie-get-over-5
|
Will the Minecraft movie get over 55% on Rotten Tomatoes?
| null | 1,739,427,276,021
| 1,744,422,468,764
| 1,744,422,468,764
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,260.046593
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
SC6n26qN80
|
will-mark-carney-become-prime-minis
|
Will Mark Carney become Prime Minister of Canada?
| null | 1,740,366,924,912
| 1,741,561,317,000
| 1,741,561,317,000
|
YES
| 0.989938
| 20,418.885258
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
PdOOZtLACZ
|
10-year-treasury-yield-at-45-on-712
|
10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 7/1/2025?
| null | 1,749,630,169,540
| 1,751,327,940,000
| 1,751,422,082,410
|
NO
| 0.082111
| 3,551.851836
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
hAUusNuhsu
|
daily-coinflip-Cy5A6ZsszL
|
Daily Coinflip
| null | 1,751,650,752,547
| 1,751,774,340,000
| 1,751,781,227,065
|
NO
| 0.495836
| 7,942.003489
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
PR2SSuhcPu
|
will-the-senate-judiciary-committee-AtCg9ug8Qp
|
Will the Senate Judiciary Committee get to view the House Ethics Committee report on Matt Gaetz?
| null | 1,731,703,601,710
| 1,738,483,140,000
| 1,738,511,654,660
|
YES
| 0.990084
| 1,201.530355
|
Politics
|
Government Structure
|
xw9lwjez9l
|
will-gabigol-renew-with-flamengo-be
|
Will Gabigol renew with Flamengo before January 1, 2025?
| null | 1,728,008,228,506
| 1,735,700,340,000
| 1,735,702,401,438
|
NO
| 0.01
| 954.749383
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
CqEgy2Z8Qz
|
will-fox-news-report-about-the-isra
|
Will fox news report about an Israeli sniper killing a young Palestinian child despite ceasefire?
| null | 1,737,745,433,795
| 1,740,373,140,000
| 1,740,845,224,084
|
NO
| 0.010016
| 1,013.322346
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
P5SIg00pC9
|
will-americans-favour-donald-trump
|
Will Americans favour Donald Trump over Joe Biden on inauguration day?
| null | 1,730,924,494,802
| 1,737,446,340,000
| 1,737,449,524,787
|
YES
| 0.99
| 10,780.466966
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
C5Q0s65QEt
|
daily-coinflip-ZSIyE6uQuc
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,744,865,358,736
| 1,745,035,140,000
| 1,745,114,085,072
|
YES
| 0.504926
| 43,362.483461
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
I65ttu5LqN
|
will-iran-hit-israel-within-5-month-hICAn5sEyP
|
Will Iran hit Israel within 5 months of being attacked by them?
| null | 1,731,901,766,160
| 1,738,372,644,897
| 1,738,372,644,897
|
NO
| 0.255038
| 90
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
p0ly9C0hEU
|
will-budda-flee-the-country-before
|
Will Budda flee the country before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,734,991,205,348
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,738,350,680,895
|
NO
| 0.01
| 9,590.783462
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
CIAp5su9Nu
|
daily-coinflip-RzO6zNOIqh
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,743,827,688,158
| 1,743,998,340,000
| 1,744,000,498,055
|
YES
| 0.5099
| 2,232.781208
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
Ugq8sySthP
|
egypts-gaza-ceasefire-restoration-p
|
Egypt's Gaza ceasefire restoration proposal accepted by Israel before April 15, 2025?
| null | 1,742,848,119,413
| 1,744,761,540,000
| 1,744,761,812,775
|
NO
| 0.012552
| 1,558.006002
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
Ztu6PRIlUL
|
will-the-belgium-national-football
|
Will the Belgium national football team win their UEFA Nations League playoff match against Ukraine on March 20, 2025?
| null | 1,741,880,445,333
| 1,742,499,606,968
| 1,742,507,240,493
|
NO
| 0.794686
| 187.801831
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
qhIEz2qtp5
|
will-this-question-have-exactly-200
|
Will this question have exactly 200 unique traders by March 19th?
| null | 1,741,787,513,512
| 1,742,443,140,000
| 1,742,476,317,863
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,017.894346
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
ulgO6ucdPA
|
mexican-government-increases-withho
|
Mexican government increases withholding rates on bank interest income before March 9, 2025
| null | 1,733,774,194,613
| 1,741,478,400,000
| 1,741,613,881,816
|
NO
| 0.185512
| 125
|
Finance
|
Banking & Financial Services
|
96EdcZShzu
|
will-trump-flee-the-country-by-inau
|
Will Trump flee the country by inauguration day 2025?
| null | 1,730,820,145,025
| 1,737,403,662,677
| 1,737,403,662,677
|
NO
| 0.01
| 894.987437
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
6unavmpfjd
|
will-we-learn-that-joe-biden-has-pa
|
Will we learn that Joe Biden has Parkinson's disease before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,720,298,970,505
| 1,735,718,340,000
| 1,736,406,441,514
|
NO
| 0.012606
| 63,144.461394
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
0AOAdSsPls
|
daily-coinflip-EZQct96d2A
|
Daily Coinflip
| null | 1,751,956,422,895
| 1,752,119,940,000
| 1,752,133,249,272
|
NO
| 0.497316
| 7,704.404787
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
zyuZLOQgNL
|
both-lamar-jackson-and-nikola-jokic
|
Both Lamar Jackson and Nikola Jokic to repeat as MVP in 2024-25?
| null | 1,731,295,388,267
| 1,741,965,863,209
| 1,741,965,863,209
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,268.771995
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
RqdUc9E2UC
|
users-codeforces-rating-reaches-can
|
User's Codeforces rating reaches Candidate Master (1900+) by February 2025
| null | 1,733,526,128,521
| 1,740,700,800,000
| 1,740,720,324,291
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,686.041971
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
83j3j2wp1a
|
will-apple-be-the-largest-company-i
|
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap at the end of 2024?
| null | 1,718,946,981,146
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,735,860,011,841
|
YES
| 0.99
| 4,824.759724
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
qsQUqIuqll
|
will-i-lift-weights-today-IyR6g2sQcU
|
Will I lift weights today?
| null | 1,737,523,527,500
| 1,737,608,340,000
| 1,737,611,951,041
|
YES
| 0.344483
| 166
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
09u0IZdS5Q
|
will-a-switch-version-of-metroid-pr
|
Will a Switch version of Metroid Prime 2: Echoes release before March?
| null | 1,738,347,985,567
| 1,740,787,140,000
| 1,740,811,071,930
|
NO
| 0.011431
| 9,307.493419
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
UQCOnnqsqh
|
will-rpredictionmarkets-have-more-t-sEZUZz55n9
|
Will r/PredictionMarkets have more than 1000 members by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,730,018,581,520
| 1,735,651,740,000
| 1,736,385,440,793
|
NO
| 0.037973
| 794.080786
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
Qp6q0UtdRO
|
will-the-righteous-gemstones-season
|
Will 'The Righteous Gemstones' Season 4 receive a Rotten Tomatoes critic score above 85% by June 1, 2025?
| null | 1,744,284,720,843
| 1,748,822,340,000
| 1,749,892,397,186
|
YES
| 0.988634
| 4,686.611823
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
zx705wvc9j
|
will-the-nfl-202425-season-be-highe
|
Will the NFL 2024/25 season be higher scoring than 2023/24?
| null | 1,723,930,529,949
| 1,739,692,740,000
| 1,739,747,419,944
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,261.822478
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
682z90du62
|
will-the-gulf-of-mexico-be-renamed
|
Will the Gulf of Mexico be renamed during the Trump presidency?
| null | 1,736,282,791,555
| 1,737,485,017,323
| 1,737,485,017,323
|
YES
| 0.99
| 36,929.12489
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
86RUPd8QnQ
|
lax-closes-due-to-palisades-fires-b
|
LAX closes due to Palisades Fires before February 9, 2025
| null | 1,736,672,066,096
| 1,739,059,200,000
| 1,739,151,240,530
|
NO
| 0.015749
| 831.569856
|
Geopolitics
|
Regional Affairs
|
tO5sL8yNn6
|
will-elon-musk-take-doge-as-a-perso
|
Will Elon Musk take "Doge" as a personal title or nickname within the first 100 days of the 2nd Trump administration?
| null | 1,738,790,171,656
| 1,746,881,425,220
| 1,746,881,425,220
|
NO
| 0.051845
| 527.156093
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
sCEP6CghgO
|
will-the-chance-of-yes-on-this-mark
|
Will the % chance of "YES" on this market close above 50%?
| null | 1,742,224,856,102
| 1,742,615,940,000
| 1,742,630,274,546
|
YES
| 0.840026
| 4,312.206384
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
zbxppwj83k
|
will-i-get-a-donationpayment-of-110
|
Will i get a Donation/Payment of 10000 or more Mana before 2025?
| null | 1,724,683,679,731
| 1,735,685,999,000
| 1,735,705,725,647
|
YES
| 0.990075
| 137,815.245981
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
szyOlLCI0I
|
virat-kohli-plays-county-cricket-be
|
Virat Kohli plays county cricket before England tour in 2025
| null | 1,737,185,095,673
| 1,746,144,000,000
| 1,747,032,167,762
|
NO
| 0.224235
| 486
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
luCCqIgRcl
|
will-justin-trudeau-officially-step
|
Will Justin Trudeau officially step down as Prime Minister of Canada before the end of February?
| null | 1,736,183,425,867
| 1,740,815,940,000
| 1,740,819,128,136
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,038.386576
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
krbzcruxys
|
will-there-be-an-assassination-atte-lay8qx2l11
|
Will there be an assassination attempt on Joe Biden before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,720,932,506,690
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,735,775,820,081
|
NO
| 0.042229
| 3,828.450039
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
I6U9d5gOq6
|
will-mbappe-score-a-hat-trick-for-r
|
Will Mbappe score a hat trick for Real Madrid in La Liga before the end of the season?
| null | 1,733,794,606,263
| 1,737,910,265,689
| 1,737,910,265,689
|
YES
| 0.989951
| 969
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
llv61klqzk
|
will-top-llm-models-use-formal-meth
|
will top LLM models use formal methods by EOY 2024?
| null | 1,724,501,339,891
| 1,735,675,140,000
| 1,736,555,480,499
|
NO
| 0.03124
| 520.769231
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
z5lh2hC6Cy
|
will-this-market-close-between-45-a-t55pSC2CLl
|
Will this market close between 45% and 55%?
| null | 1,747,187,303,672
| 1,747,791,840,000
| 1,747,791,873,049
|
YES
| 0.45
| 10,828.899586
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
toi4wk169h
|
will-nvidia-be-the-largest-company-7kj1eys2yc
|
Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on Juneteenth 2025?
| null | 1,718,734,182,747
| 1,750,346,656,865
| 1,750,346,656,865
|
NO
| 0.008404
| 5,238.24095
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
Agg8SuZPpg
|
will-carvana-stock-fall-to-100-afte
|
Will Carvana stock fall to $100 after Hindenberg report? (before March 1st)
| null | 1,735,960,452,742
| 1,740,794,916,726
| 1,740,794,916,726
|
NO
| 0.01
| 103,801.266229
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
lS2g8nCltA
|
will-trump-intervene-in-the-crimina
|
Will Trump intervene in the criminal case against Eric Adams?
| null | 1,731,115,049,676
| 1,738,193,512,977
| 1,738,193,512,977
|
YES
| 0.75
| 1,084.052135
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
qUzIlQEN9N
|
baron-trump-meme-coin-before-march
|
Will Baron Trump release his own meme coin before March 1st?
| null | 1,738,014,602,474
| 1,740,815,940,000
| 1,740,841,298,201
|
NO
| 0.014526
| 8,718.877976
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
nvbwctisu2
|
will-chat-gpt-5-release-before-blue
|
Will Chat GPT 5 release before Blue Monday 2025?
| null | 1,719,003,223,648
| 1,737,435,540,000
| 1,737,436,239,992
|
NO
| 0.01
| 30,412.849893
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
NqCPnzRq2C
|
will-iran-hit-israel-within-3-years
|
Will Iran hit Israel within 3 years of being attacked by them?
| null | 1,741,463,758,619
| 1,749,949,738,458
| 1,749,949,738,458
|
YES
| 0.969833
| 570
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
zcyN0qLu2y
|
does-vladimir-putin-show-up-in-pers
|
Does Vladimir Putin show up in person to cease fire talks in Türkiye May 15, 2025?
| null | 1,746,985,518,144
| 1,747,408,549,070
| 1,747,408,549,070
|
NO
| 0.012064
| 3,337.456686
|
Geopolitics
|
International Relations
|
yQRP02C6gO
|
will-i-qualify-for-tst-2025
|
Will I qualify for TST 2025?
| null | 1,749,326,747,556
| 1,751,140,740,000
| 1,751,457,045,853
|
YES
| 0.791852
| 120
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
4a2ezqcons
|
will-2024-will-the-warmest-year-eve
|
Will 2024 will the warmest year ever recorded (global) ?
| null | 1,725,630,331,607
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,736,008,026,269
|
YES
| 0.99
| 898.400121
|
Geopolitics
|
Regional Affairs
|
LL5uOE0L5p
|
will-the-washington-commanders-domi-Q5ycES8utg
|
Will the Washington Commanders conquer the Detroit Lions?
| null | 1,736,803,509,369
| 1,737,260,682,522
| 1,737,260,682,522
|
YES
| 0.989932
| 25,028.318572
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
RuCORIEUZN
|
after-looking-into-it-will-i-believ
|
After looking into it, will I believe that LLMs perform badly on USAMO 2025?
| null | 1,743,528,099,267
| 1,743,958,670,157
| 1,743,958,670,157
|
YES
| 0.703932
| 125
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
25iwe9kupq
|
will-evan-vuccis-photograph-of-trum
|
Will Evan Vucci's photograph of Trump pumping his fist be at least a finalist for a Pulitzer?
| null | 1,720,927,664,156
| 1,748,590,499,858
| 1,748,590,499,858
|
NO
| 0.01
| 24,640.251896
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
zfi78oaapm
|
will-the-sohu-ai-chip-ship-to-custo
|
Will the Sohu AI chip ship to customers within a year?
| null | 1,719,813,935,549
| 1,750,834,740,000
| 1,751,472,963,606
|
NO
| 0.026083
| 6,053.783479
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
Ln6tzscRPu
|
will-silksong-be-a-switch-2-launch
|
Will Silksong be a Switch 2 launch title (or be available within a month of launch)?
| null | 1,739,924,561,794
| 1,751,774,340,000
| 1,751,798,370,750
|
NO
| 0.002603
| 5,915.721763
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
ae2zu7cf9c
|
will-most-businesses-have-access-to-quxyykkeo4
|
Will most businesses have access to buy ads on an OpenAI product by 1 July 2025?
| null | 1,728,161,418,662
| 1,751,334,581,124
| 1,751,334,581,124
|
NO
| 0.010125
| 102,772.426097
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
026dluCPOy
|
at-8-pm-et-on-the-12th-will-the-mar
|
“At 8 PM ET on the 12th, will the market’s assessed probability (in %) be an even number?”
| null | 1,736,633,871,407
| 1,736,640,710,724
| 1,736,640,710,724
|
YES
| 0.659925
| 175.997471
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
QznzPgInp5
|
will-alexander-vindman-sue-elon-mus
|
Will Alexander Vindman sue Elon Musk for defamation by the end of May 2025?
| null | 1,733,035,241,144
| 1,748,750,340,000
| 1,748,751,439,934
|
NO
| 0.01
| 956.629207
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
6RylyUlCSg
|
will-i-get-honorable-mention-on-usa
|
Will I get Honorable Mention on USAJMO 2025?
| null | 1,741,906,214,023
| 1,742,367,540,000
| 1,745,597,850,215
|
YES
| 0.692308
| 50
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
90Olqqu2gz
|
will-ishiba-be-prime-minister-of-ja
|
Will Ishiba be Prime Minister of Japan by the End of Golden Week 2025?
| null | 1,732,717,698,907
| 1,746,543,540,000
| 1,746,831,672,321
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,165.620993
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
End of preview. Expand
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